Representing Uncertainties Using Bayesian Networks
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چکیده
This report demonstrates the application of Bayesian networks for modelling and reasoning about uncertainties. A scenario for naval anti-surface warfare is constructed and Bayesian networks are used to represent and update uncertainties encountered in the process of 'situation assessment'. Concepts from information theory are used to provide a measure of uncertainty and understand its flow in a Bayesian network. This in turn yields analytical methods to formulate various effectiveness measures.
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تاریخ انتشار 1999